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#population

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#SouthernRightWhale #population growth has stalled, scientists say, with a possible 'onset of a decline'.

Australia's southern right whale population growth has #stalled, raising questions about the recovery of a species that was nearly driven to #extinction by historical #whaling, according to a new study.

abc.net.au/news/2025-05-01/ima

ABC News · Something is happening with the southern right whale population, scientists sayBy Ellen Coulter

Who remembers the 2008 financial crisis? Do you know what's careening toward us like an out of control freight train? A poly-crisis recession that will make 2008 look like a cake walk.

The university system as we know it will not survive the federal budget cuts, the predatory student loan system, and the forced teaching of false white nationalist christo fascist dogma.

Population is hardly the worst problem colleges have.

Link: yahoo.com/news/number-18-olds-

Replied in thread

@df

That piece on ethics of immigration was an interesting read. I was going to post some thoughts there, but they ended up long, so I'll post them here instead:

In a finite world, this gets inevitably tangled in the politics of reproduction and overpopulation. Some seek to tactically out-reproduce as a way of politically dominating, or to fear that others will, but even more basically, if we ignore such factions and stick to sheer numbers: We can be fruitful and multiply only to a point in a finite world. At some point, multiplying isn't fruitful but exhausts all fruit.

And so when people move around in a sparse world, there there may be more capacity to absorb them than in a dense one, regardless of how you define words like sparse and dense and capacity. And, of course, density is distributed unevenly. Certain standards of living or ways of living will not support more than a certain number of people. So questions arise as to whether it's the right of a people or a region to have any such standard or way of living.

Without a theory of why people would taper off reproduction as the world becomes crowded, the politics of immigration becomes tethered to the politics of reproduction. Birth itself is a kind of immigration, and sometimes people who want to taper immigration seem to nonetheless want to encourage birth, without seeing or acknowledging that each of these increases population density and strain on finite resources. In an "empty" world, the risk is of having too few people, and both birth and immigration seem obvious opportunities to mitigate risk. In a "full" world, the risk is of having too many people, and both birth and immigration seem points of concern and opportunities for risk to attach.

Of course, density is not distributed evenly in the world, so these concepts apply differently in different places, but it simplifies discussion to keep things simple. To have a coherent ethics on this, one must know where one is in the empty/full spectrum. And, of course, all gets even more complicated if one realizes that people will inevitably overlay race, religion, wealth, or nationality, but the essential problems are best seen if you hold those at bay long enough to understand it is not really possible to ignore overpopulation as a core driver of the stress. In some sense, those other factors just create ways of magnifying, partitioning, and sadly scapegoating that stress.

Discussions of both reproduction and immigration are intrinsically difficult because they get quickly into issues of how we may fairly distribute finite resources in an ever more crowded world as cultures with very different and deeply held practices and expectations come ever more inevitably into contact and, too often, conflict with one another. Achieving any sense of fairness can be a nontrivial task because each is starting from a different place and there is often no commonly agreed starting point for what can be expected to be fixed and what must be up for negotiation. It probably have to start with everyone agreeing there's a real problem and that we all need to be equitably involved in a solution, but I sense there's a lot of denial on both of these points.

**Threshold fertility for the avoidance of extinction under critical conditions**

“_The results indicate that the fertility rate should exceed 2.7 to avoid extinction. The extinction threshold is reduced by a female-biased sex ratio. We argue that the present results explain the observed phenomena of female-biased births under severe conditions as an effective way to avoid extinction._”

Cuaresma DCN, Ito H, Arima H, Yoshimura J, Morita S, et al. (2025) Threshold fertility for the avoidance of extinction under critical conditions. PLOS ONE 20(4): e0322174. journals.plos.org/plosone/arti.

#OpenAccess #OA #Research #Article #DOI #Fertility #Extinction #Population #Anthropology #Academia #Academics @anthropology

journals.plos.orgThreshold fertility for the avoidance of extinction under critical conditionsThe developed countries now face a low fertility crisis. The replacement level fertility (RLF) is conventionally considered to be 2.1 children per woman, in which demographic stochasticity arising from random variations in individual offspring numbers is ignored. However, the importance of demographic stochasticity casts doubts on the adequacy of the replacement level fertility of 2.1, especially in a small population. Here, we investigate the extinction threshold for the fertility rate of a sexually reproducing population caused by demographic stochasticity. The results indicate that the fertility rate should exceed 2.7 to avoid extinction. The extinction threshold is reduced by a female-biased sex ratio. We argue that the present results explain the observed phenomena of female-biased births under severe conditions as an effective way to avoid extinction. Furthermore, since fertility rates are below this threshold in developed countries, family lineages of almost all individuals are destined to go extinct eventually.
Replied in thread

Day 31 cont 🧍‍♀️🧍🧍‍♂️🧍‍♂️🧍‍♀️🧍‍♀️🧍‍♀️🧍🏡

“Already these so-called #greenfield developments — houses built on previously #BareLand, just as the name suggests — are changing the #terrain of #Australia’s #cities.

The new #developments are easy to spot from the street, or the air, thanks to the sea of grey roof tiles.

Where once #ResidentialDevelopment was concentrated around #economic centres, now it’s #bulging outwards to an extent that the connection to city-living is tenuous at best.”

The barely mentioned issue that needs to be addressed, #population and #planning.

#AusPol / #cities / #land / #LandUse <abc.net.au/news/2025-04-30/fed>

ABC News · Caught between a promise and paradise in Australia's housing borderlandsBy Maani Truu

PROTECT COLORADO’S WILD HORSES FROM CRUEL, DEADLY HELICOPTER ROUNDUPS 🐎

Broken legs, agonizing deaths, and traumatic separation of bonded families – these are some of the devastating consequences of cruel, terrifying wild horse helicopter #roundups still happening in #Colorado to control the #population.

A new bill could help spare horses from this horrifying practice: #ColoradoBill1283 seeks to use fertility control measures,

🐎

In frühen Phasen der Ansiedlung picken sich #Wölfe die „Sahnestücke“ für neue Territorien heraus

Die Überlebensraten der deutschen #Wolfspopulation waren im Vergleich zu anderen Regionen sehr hoch, sie gehörten sogar zu den höchsten weltweit.

Als geeignet qualifizieren sich Landstriche, die ausreichend Deckung – beispielsweise durch Wälder – und Rückzugsräume bieten, die möglichst weit von Straßen entfernt liegen. Dadurch ermöglichen diese Räume dem Wolf, dem Menschen aus dem Weg zu gehen. Siedeln sich Wölfe in weniger geeigneten Lebensräumen an, wirkt sich dies negativ auf das eigene Überleben und die Fortpflanzung aus. „Wenn die optimalen Lebensräume besetzt sind, wird sich das Wachstum der #Population abbremsen".
Daten der mittlerweile 1.000 sezierten Wölfe aus Deutschland zeigen, dass rund drei Viertel der toten Wölfe an einer Kollision im Verkehr sterben. In 13,5% aller untersuchten Wölfe wurden Hinweise auf eine #Straftat wie zum Beispiel den illegalen Beschuss gefunden #Wolf
izw-berlin.de/de/pressemitteil

www.izw-berlin.deHohe Überlebensraten erklären 20 Jahre rascher Ausbreitung von Wölfen in Deutschland - Leibniz-Institut für Zoo- und WildtierforschungSeit vor gut 20 Jahren Wölfe in Deutschland wieder heimisch wurden, breiten sie sich schnell in vielen Teilen des Landes aus. Die rasch ansteigende Zahl der Wölfe lag in hohen Überlebens- und Reproduktionsraten in Gebieten begründet, die geeignete Umweltbedingungen aufweisen. Dies zeigt eine Analyse des …

🌎 An archaeological study of human settlement during the Final Palaeolithic revealed that populations in Europe did not decrease homogenously during the last cold phase of the Ice Age. Significant variation in regional population sizes indicate differentiated reactions nested in an overall shift of settlement areas towards the east

Read more 👇
uni.koeln/TXS74

Study: journals.plos.org/plosone/arti