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#patrickboyle

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"The takeaway from this video is that it's an oversimplification to say that all regulation is good, or that all regulation is bad. Regulations are usually put in place for food reasons. But over time it makes sense to revisit them, analyse the outcomes, and see if the regulations are providing the benefits that were promised. And if they're causing any unforseen problems or costs".

#PatrickBoyle, 2025

podcasters.spotify.com/pod/sho

(1/2)

Spotify for CreatorsSwamped by Rules! - Which Ones Should Go? by Patrick Boyle On FinanceThere is a long history of regulation and deregulation where big scandals provide the catalyst for new rules, and then the realization that the rules are possibly excessive has caused them to be rolled back. In finance the 1933 Glass-Steagall provisions came in the wake of the 1929 Crash. The 2002 Sarbanes-Oxley Act was a reaction to the Enron and WorldCom scandals. Dodd-Frank was enacted in 2010 after the 2008 financial crisis. Good regulation can bring all sorts of benefits, but excessive regulation, does little to serve the public interest, and creates financial costs and frustration for businesses and the public. Elon Musk has vowed to dismantle thousands of federal regulations as the co-head of the Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, saying the nation’s financial security depends on it. Is he right, and if so, what rules need to go first? Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel: Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle Visit our website: https://www.onfinance.org Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle Business Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org Additional Reading: https://regulatorystudies.columbian.gwu.edu/brief-history-regulation-and-deregulation An Evaluation of Consumer Protection Legislation: The 1962 Drug Amendments | Journal of Political Economy: Vol 81, No 5 https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/jones-act-burden-america-can-no-longer-bear#conclusion https://worksinprogress.co/issue/how-madrid-built-its-metro-cheaply/ Milton Friedman Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZL25NSLhEA A history of regulation and deregulation: https://regulatorystudies.columbian.gwu.edu/brief-history-regulation-and-deregulation Weird Laws Around the World: https://www.farandwide.com/s/weird-laws-world-4961c1ede8d749bf
Continued thread

"Thanks for tuning into this week's podcast. If you found it interesting, please send a link to a friend. As there's no podcast algorithm, and they just grow by word of mouth."

#PatrickBoyle, 2025

creators.spotify.com/pod/show/

Same with blogs, and fediverse accounts. For me, the absence of those algorithms is a feature, not a bug.

(1/2)

Spotify for CreatorsDeepSeek - How a Chinese AI Startup Shook Silicon Valley by Patrick Boyle On FinanceOn Monday, over a trillion dollars was wiped off the US stock market due to the appearance of a Chinese artificial intelligence start-up DeepSeek. The release of a new reasoning model, known as R1, led investors to question US dominance in tech, their expectations around future AI capex while also raising the prospect that China might beat Silicon Valley at its own game. The new DeepSeek model can “reason” to solve complex problems and performs as well as the AI software from US tech giants like Google and OpenAI, but was apparently developed at a fraction of the price of those models. DeepSeek quickly overtook OpenAI’s ChatGPT as the most-downloaded free app on the US iOS App store. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel: Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle Visit our website: https://www.onfinance.org Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.social Business Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org

"DeepSeek used a 'mixture of experts' model. Which means rather than training one large model, they trained tens of smaller ones, on more specific data, that then gets switched on and off as needed."

#PatrickBoyle, 2025

creators.spotify.com/pod/show/

To the degree that #MOLE Training will be a useful technology in the long term, I think this is how it will be used. Models that are intensively trained on narrow areas to create niche expert systems. The AGI talk is pure sales hype.

Spotify for CreatorsDeepSeek - How a Chinese AI Startup Shook Silicon Valley by Patrick Boyle On FinanceOn Monday, over a trillion dollars was wiped off the US stock market due to the appearance of a Chinese artificial intelligence start-up DeepSeek. The release of a new reasoning model, known as R1, led investors to question US dominance in tech, their expectations around future AI capex while also raising the prospect that China might beat Silicon Valley at its own game. The new DeepSeek model can “reason” to solve complex problems and performs as well as the AI software from US tech giants like Google and OpenAI, but was apparently developed at a fraction of the price of those models. DeepSeek quickly overtook OpenAI’s ChatGPT as the most-downloaded free app on the US iOS App store. Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel: Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle Visit our website: https://www.onfinance.org Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.social Business Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org
Continued thread

"Instead, many countries have adopted lopsided industrial policies that allow them to export much more than they import. Their objective is not to raise the standard of living of their citizens. But to accumulate power and wealth by buying assets abroad."

#PatrickBoyle, 2025

creators.spotify.com/pod/show/

This was a key part of Reaganomics. Huge chunks of the NZ economy ended up owned by US capitalists by the end of the 1990s. Now China is following a similar playbook.

(5/?)

Spotify for CreatorsTrump’s Tariff Wars - What Happens Next? by Patrick Boyle On FinanceLast weekend Donald Trump announced 25 per cent tariffs on most imports from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10 per cent levy on imports from China. Canadian oil was hit at a lower rate of 10 per cent. The duties will take effect from Tuesday. Just days later these tariffs were suspended.Trump said the actions were in response to the “major threat” posed by the flow of migrants and drugs into the US across its borders with Canada and Mexico.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org
Continued thread

"North American car manufacturing is highly integrated between the three countries [US, Canada, Mexico], with parts going back and forth across borders as many as seven times during the production process."

#PatrickBoyle, 2025

creators.spotify.com/pod/show/

Why all this back and forth? Surely it would use less resources to produce a complete vehicle at one manufacturing complex? Even if you're importing specialist parts, they only need to cross the border once.

Spotify for CreatorsTrump’s Tariff Wars - What Happens Next? by Patrick Boyle On FinanceLast weekend Donald Trump announced 25 per cent tariffs on most imports from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10 per cent levy on imports from China. Canadian oil was hit at a lower rate of 10 per cent. The duties will take effect from Tuesday. Just days later these tariffs were suspended.Trump said the actions were in response to the “major threat” posed by the flow of migrants and drugs into the US across its borders with Canada and Mexico.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org
Continued thread

"Mexico provides almost 2/3 of all US fruit and vegetable imports. So food prices would be hit right away"

#PatrickBoyle, 2025

creators.spotify.com/pod/show/

If we're talking about fresh fruit and veges ... why is the US importing these at all? Especially in enough volume for trade issues to affect prices.

Surely you get fresher produce when it's grown as close as possible to where it's eaten? Not to mention healthier local economies, more resilient supply chains, and lower carbon emissions.

Spotify for CreatorsTrump’s Tariff Wars - What Happens Next? by Patrick Boyle On FinanceLast weekend Donald Trump announced 25 per cent tariffs on most imports from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10 per cent levy on imports from China. Canadian oil was hit at a lower rate of 10 per cent. The duties will take effect from Tuesday. Just days later these tariffs were suspended.Trump said the actions were in response to the “major threat” posed by the flow of migrants and drugs into the US across its borders with Canada and Mexico.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org

Intriguing. Patrick Boyle did a good analysis of tariffs late last year, looking at both potential pros and cons, and busting a few common myths;

creators.spotify.com/pod/show/

Yet here, only 2 months later, he's back to singing from the neoclassical songbook;

creators.spotify.com/pod/show/

Eg assuming that tariffs will raise prices. Which is not a given, as he said in the episode at the first link.

Spotify for CreatorsCan Trump's Tariffs Work? by Patrick Boyle On FinanceIn today's video we examine Donald Trump's plan to rebalance global trade using tariffs, try to understand the issues with international trade that have been pushing the United States and other countries in this protectionist direction, and if tariffs can be expected to improve the situation or make things worse. We’ll discuss whether Trump could impose his tariffs unilaterally on his first day in office and whether the mere threat of tariffs could be used to improve Americas bargaining power? Subscribe to @PBoyleInterviews here: https://youtu.be/w7sWER7LJd8 Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle Visit our website: https://www.onfinance.org Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle Business Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org Further Reading: Michael Pettis Trade Intervention for Freer Trade: https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/10/trade-intervention-for-freer-trade?lang=en CFR The Contentious U.S.-China Trade Relationship: https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/contentious-us-china-trade-relationship

"Now we might need to fact-check some of what Marc [Andreeson, VC, of Andreeson-Horowitz] just said."

#PatrickBoyle, 2024

podcasters.spotify.com/pod/sho

You could. Or you could save a lot of time by assuming that if his mouth is moving, he's telling blatant porkies, like the grifter he is.

Spotify for CreatorsYotta Bank & The Problem with Fintech! by Patrick Boyle On FinanceMarc Andreessen appeared on the Joe Rogan podcast this week arguing that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) should be shut down as it debanks conservatives. In today's video we use the example of the finfluencer promoted fintech bank Yotta - look at its ties to another fintech - synapse to try to understand if the CFPB should be defunded or if savers need to be protected from fintech firms that are mostly unregulated. Subscribe to Patrick's interview channel here: https://www.youtube.com/@PBoyleInterviews Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle Visit our website: https://www.onfinance.org Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle Business Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org Additional Reading: CNBC Article: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/22/synapse-bankruptcy-thousands-of-americans-see-their-savings-vanish.html How Safe are Online Banks & Fintechs?: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-09/how-safe-is-your-money-really-in-online-banks-and-fintechs Andreessen-Backed Fintech's Meltdown Shows Bank Middlemen Risks: https://news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/andreessen-backed-fintechs-meltdown-shows-bank-middlemen-risks Rob Copeland - How To Keep Your Money Safe: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/business/online-lending-banking-money-risks.html CFPB Debanking Press Release: https://www.consumerfinance.gov/about-us/newsroom/cfpb-finalizes-rule-on-federal-oversight-of-popular-digital-payment-apps-to-protect-personal-data-reduce-fraud-and-stop-illegal-debanking/ a16z Investment list: https://a16z.com/investment-list/ Joe Rogan - Marc Andreessen Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ye8MOfxD5nU

Even though Patrick Boyle starts with some *very* different assumptions to mine about political economy - Boyle is still wedded to the founding myths of the Washington Consensus - this is a remarkably thoughtful and well balanced analysis of some of the pros and cons of the US imposing tariffs on selected imports;
podcasters.spotify.com/pod/sho

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Spotify for CreatorsYotta Bank & The Problem with Fintech! by Patrick Boyle On FinanceMarc Andreessen appeared on the Joe Rogan podcast this week arguing that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) should be shut down as it debanks conservatives. In today's video we use the example of the finfluencer promoted fintech bank Yotta - look at its ties to another fintech - synapse to try to understand if the CFPB should be defunded or if savers need to be protected from fintech firms that are mostly unregulated. Subscribe to Patrick's interview channel here: https://www.youtube.com/@PBoyleInterviews Patrick's Books: Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0 Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF Corporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle Visit our website: https://www.onfinance.org Follow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://twitter.com/PatrickEBoyle Business Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org Additional Reading: CNBC Article: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/22/synapse-bankruptcy-thousands-of-americans-see-their-savings-vanish.html How Safe are Online Banks & Fintechs?: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-09/how-safe-is-your-money-really-in-online-banks-and-fintechs Andreessen-Backed Fintech's Meltdown Shows Bank Middlemen Risks: https://news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/andreessen-backed-fintechs-meltdown-shows-bank-middlemen-risks Rob Copeland - How To Keep Your Money Safe: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/business/online-lending-banking-money-risks.html CFPB Debanking Press Release: https://www.consumerfinance.gov/about-us/newsroom/cfpb-finalizes-rule-on-federal-oversight-of-popular-digital-payment-apps-to-protect-personal-data-reduce-fraud-and-stop-illegal-debanking/ a16z Investment list: https://a16z.com/investment-list/ Joe Rogan - Marc Andreessen Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ye8MOfxD5nU

Patrick Boyle does a good job giving #a16z chief bro and Nerd Reich mastermind Marc Andreessen a hard time for the insane statements made by the latter on the Joe Rogan Experience a few days ago.

tl;dr Andreessen claimed the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau needs to be eliminated because it's "Elizabeth Warren's personal agency that exists to terrorize fintech companies to prevent them from competing from the big banks" (I'm paraphrasing).

Conveniently unmentioned is that one of #a16z's big fintech investments, #Synapse, has lost something like $50-100 million in customer funds and is exactly the kind of company the #CFPB just announced it would try to regulate.

Andreessen's whole performance on Rogan was truly disgusting.

youtube.com/watch?v=SAFlRSftff