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#weatherforecast

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Flipboard Science Desk

The natural climate pattern La Niña started to make her presence felt last fall. Now, she's on her way out. According to a new National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration report, things have shifted into a "neutral" phase, which is forecast to last into at least early fall. Forecasters are predicting an active hurricane season and above average temperatures nearly everywhere in the U.S. aside from the Pacific Northwest and parts of the Northern Tier. Here's more from @CNN.

flip.it/DFJ4Me

CNN · La Niña is dead. Here’s what to expect in the coming monthsBy Mary Gilbert
#Weather#WeatherForecast#Science
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Anita Graser 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇬🇪

TIL about a new European data-driven weather forecasting model, the Artificial Intelligence/Integrated Forecasting System (AIFS) that outperforms leading physics-based global numerical weather prediction
ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/178/ne

HT linkedin.com/posts/shoaibburq_

ECMWFAIFS: a new ECMWF forecasting system 
#GeoAI#weatherforecast
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💧🌏 Greg Cocks

Kiwi Water Park Owner Feels ‘Victimised’ By iPhone Weather App [New Zealand]
--
nzherald.co.nz/nz/kiwi-water-p <-- shared media article
--
[spatiotemporal data and models - and their consumer & other use - has potential real-world consequences]
“Emily Rutherford says she feels “personally victimised” by iPhone’s weather app.
Rutherford, who co-owns the Kiwi Water Park in Lake Dunstan, Central Otago, said the app kept reporting the temperature in her area was up to 5C cooler than MetService predicted – and even MetService could be underestimating the summer heat.
She worried it was putting off potential customers…"
#GIS #spatial #mapping #NewZealand #KiwiWaterPark #iPhone #app #weather #forecast #model #modeling #weather #metrology #weatherforecast #spatiotemporal #cost #economics #loss #humanimpacts #recreation #leisure #waterpark #weathermodel
@KiwiWaterPark @TheWeatherCompany @MetService @niwa @IBM

photo - Kiwi Water Park in Lake Dunstan, Central Otago, New Zealand
map - forecast example - The Weather Company for New Zealand
view from space - New Zealand
logo / banner - The Weather Company
Public
O=C=O

Hurricane Helene drone flight breaks records for data collection and flying time

As #Hurricane Helene developed in the Gulf of Mexico, #NOAA researchers gathered critical data from the sea and sky to better understand tropical #cyclones and support the National Hurricane Center forecasters. This real time data gives #meteorologists a clearer picture of the storm environment and structure, reducing forecast uncertainty.

phys.org/news/2024-10-hurrican

#WeatherForecast
#ExtremeWeather

Sensors, components and hardware on the S0 drone. Credit: Black Swift Technologies
Continued thread
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anlomedad

What was the highest ever computed forecast in an #WeatherForecast ensemble member – eg for #Lytton in Canada?
You recall: they had over 49°C on June 29 2021.
Did a forecast ensemble member foresee that "perfect storm" in Lytton? Did a member go even higher?

Ideally, I'd like to see the all-time forecast maxima °C in ensemble members of the past 4 years. As a global map with a good colour scale that is easily translatable to °C on the map. As a bonus: max 6h cumulative precipitation.
Or a clickable map maybe: click a location to see all-time max computed °C and date.

From such a map, we can feel ourselves into the worst-case scenario for the next 4 years or so: how impacts on anthroposphere and biosphere might spread across regions, and how that might play out in society, geo-politics, climate policy.

I don't have a clue wrt where to even start such a project. Is a data digger or #meteorologist among you who would do it?
#meteorology #weather #ExtremeWeather #FollowerPower

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