#Jon

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gentlegardener<a href="https://infosec.exchange/@darkuncle" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@darkuncle</a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/@ai6yr" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@ai6yr</a> "Jon & Vinny’s — All locations are open as of January 9 to offer refuge and the restaurant is delivering pizzas to first responders and firefighters" - <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a>&Vinny's and <a href="https://mastodon.scot/tags/HelensWines" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HelensWines</a> working full tilt donating food and working with other restaurants to organize the distribution to first responders. Helen is family, we could not be more proud - and worried.

Chuck DarwinDemocratic leaders are telling their party's biggest donors that keeping Montana's Senate seat blue is a real challenge. However, they are planning to go on offense in Florida to retain their majority.Why it matters: Without Montana, the math for Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to keep his job gets very difficult.But Democrats are signaling they want to expand the playing field and be in a position to steal Republican seats in states like <a href="https://c.im/tags/Florida" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Florida</a>. -- Yes, it's still red, but former President Trump isn't expected to win by double digits.They are also eyeing <a href="https://c.im/tags/Texas" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Texas</a>, where a recent poll has Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) up by three points against Rep. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Colin" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Colin</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Allred" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Allred</a> (D-Texas).Driving the news: Officials acknowledged Sen. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tester" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tester</a> (D-Mont.) is down in the polls, but party strategists still see a path for him to defy the odds and win, just like Sen. Susan Collins of Maine did on the Republican side in 2020."It sounds like Gary Peters is thinking about abandoning Jon Tester," NRSC spokesperson Philip Letsou told Axios. "No matter what Democrats do, the NRSC will do whatever it takes to ensure Ted Cruz and Rick Scott defeat the radical liberals Chuck Schumer and his billionaire allies have propped up against them."The intrigue: Republicans held their donor retreat just up the coast in Sea Island, Georgia, where the National Republican Senatorial Committee explained why they are eyeing a 52-seat majority.At both events, there was a mixture of hope and fear.In addition to Montana, there were concerns about <a href="https://c.im/tags/Ohio" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Ohio</a>, where Sen. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sherrod" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Sherrod</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Brown" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Brown</a> (D-Ohio) faces a tough re-election in a state Trump could carry by eight or nine percentage points.The most optimistic pitch the Democratic donors received was from <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tennessee" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tennessee</a> state Rep. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Gloria" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Gloria</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Johnson" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Johnson</a>, their party's nominee to defeat Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.) in a race the Cook Political Report is rating a "solid R."What we're hearing: Democrats are contemplating a late blitz in the Florida Senate race, where Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla) has just a two-point lead over former Rep. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Debbie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Debbie</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Mucarsel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Mucarsel</a>-<a href="https://c.im/tags/Powell" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Powell</a> in the latest public poll.While air time hasn't been officially booked, Democratic sources tell us they expect the DSCC to make a splash in Florida in the coming weeks.From Labor Day to Election Day, Democrats have spent or reserved some $5.6 million in advertising in Florida, according to AdImpact.Over the same period, Republicans are at $4.4 million, but Scott's campaign likes to buy week to week, meaning they could pump more money into the race if they feel it's warranted.<a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/09/25/senate-democrats-florida-rick-scott-mucarsel-powell" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.axios.com/2024/09/25/senate-democrats-florida-rick-scott-mucarsel-powell</a>

Chuck DarwinThis week, at the Democratic National Convention, the speeches of <a href="https://c.im/tags/Michelle" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Michelle</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Obama" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Obama</a> and the Second Gentleman <a href="https://c.im/tags/Doug" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Doug</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Emhoff" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Emhoff</a> (and maybe <a href="https://c.im/tags/Lil" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Lil</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a>’s, if you want to call that a speech) stood out.But there was one speech, in particular, that struck me: 🔥The sermon-like words of Sen. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Raphael" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Raphael</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Warnock" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Warnock</a> (D-Ga.).Warnock has served as senior pastor at Atlanta’s historic <a href="https://c.im/tags/Ebenezer" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Ebenezer</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Baptist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Baptist</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Church" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Church</a> for nearly 20 years. His election on January 5, 2021 was one of two pivotal, and highly covered, Senate races in Georgia. That made him a national figure, of sorts. But not exactly a household name. If you don’t know Warnock well, it’s worth remembering he is a pastor who invokes his Christianity as a foundation of his politics.⭐️He clearly brings that power to the secular pulpit in his speech on the first night of the DNC, telling of the need to heal a nation that has long been broken. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Michelle" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Michelle</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Obama" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Obama</a> might have done a bit of call-and-response. But it is hard to imagine anyone else pulling off calling Donald Trump a “<a href="https://c.im/tags/plague" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#plague</a>,” as Warnock does, with such heft. <a href="https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/08/raphael-warnock-dnc-speech/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/08/raphael-warnock-dnc-speech/</a>

Chuck DarwinHave you seen this alarming Montana Senate race poll? 👀<a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tester" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tester</a> has been working tirelessly to represent Montana in the Senate -- and he's been doing a damn good job.Jon is the kind of guy who doesn't back down from a challenge. He works tirelessly until the job is done, because that's what Montanans do. He's been championing our values in Washington, fighting for affordable healthcare, protecting our public lands, and advocating for good-paying jobs.However, he's currently <a href="https://c.im/tags/tied" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#tied</a> with his opponent, the far-right Republican handpicked by Mitch McConnell, and he needs our help NOW.We can't bring Jon and his fellow Senators to victory without your help. That's why we're asking, will you donate $25 to help fund our grassroots movement to defend the Senate this November<a href="https://forwardblue.us/l/nhxxL1" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://forwardblue.us/l/nhxxL1</a>— Forward Blue

Chuck DarwinIn <a href="https://c.im/tags/Montana" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Montana</a>, Trump repeatedly mentioned what he still <a href="https://c.im/tags/falsely" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#falsely</a> says was a “<a href="https://c.im/tags/rigged" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rigged</a> election” in 2020and said the Republican National Committee was working at an effort to <a href="https://c.im/tags/repeat" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#repeat</a> those efforts this year.He made <a href="https://c.im/tags/xenophobic" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#xenophobic</a> comments about migrants coming to the U.S. illegally, 🌟falsely said Harris was letting some “roam free” to assault, <a href="https://c.im/tags/rape" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rape</a> and <a href="https://c.im/tags/murder" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#murder</a> Americans, 🌟and falsely claimed she would give undocumented immigrants all the benefits Americans enjoy.“It’s going to be called a <a href="https://c.im/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Trump</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/mass" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#mass</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/deportation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#deportation</a>, because we have no choice. We have no choice. If Harris wins, a never-ending stream of illegal alien <a href="https://c.im/tags/rapists" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rapists</a>,” Trump said, ironically.He also made snide comments about Senator <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tester" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tester</a>’s appearance, chided his support for the Inflation Reduction Act, -- which has brought hundreds of millions of dollars to Montana, and called Tester a “big slob.”😨Trump brought Rep. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Ronny" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Ronny</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jackson" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jackson</a>, R-Texas, a former physician to the president, on stage to air his animus for Tester six years after Tester helped tank Trump’s effort to put Jackson in as the Secretary of Veterans Affairs in 2018 by bringing to light complaints Jackson had <a href="https://c.im/tags/overprescribed" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#overprescribed</a> certain medications and was <a href="https://c.im/tags/drinking" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#drinking</a> on the job.“This man tried to destroy me. He tried to destroy my family. I’ve been waiting for six years to get back here for this night, to be with this man right here, to come after (Tester),” Jackson said, calling Tester a “Swamp hippopotamus😂<a href="https://dailymontanan.com/2024/08/10/trump-rallies-thousands-in-bozeman-in-support-of-gop-senate-candidate-sheehy/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://dailymontanan.com/2024/08/10/trump-rallies-thousands-in-bozeman-in-support-of-gop-senate-candidate-sheehy/</a><a href="https://jontester.com" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://jontester.com</a>

Chuck DarwinVoters in the deep-red state of Montana heavily back former president Donald Trump — who endorsed Sheehy earlier this year — but have elected 👍Democratic incumbent <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tester" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tester</a> three times.<a href="https://jontester.com/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://jontester.com/</a>“Montana will always come first for me – and I will take on anyone, from any party, to defend our state,” Tester said in a statement. “I’m honored to have the support of Montana Republicans who have stood with me to fight for our veterans, protect our freedoms, and keep the government out of our personal lives.”<a href="https://www.yahoo.com/news/tester-campaign-launches-republicans-tester-130118299.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.yahoo.com/news/tester-campaign-launches-republicans-tester-130118299.html</a>

Chuck DarwinMontana GOP Senate candidate <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tim" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tim</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sheehy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Sheehy</a> touts his business. -- It’s losing millions. As he campaigns in one of the nation’s most competitive U.S. Senate races, <a href="https://c.im/tags/Montana" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Montana</a> Republican <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tim" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tim</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sheehy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Sheehy</a> recounts how he started an aerial firefighting business in his barn and built it into a publicly traded company on the front lines of increasingly dangerous wildfires. “That’s a success story,” he said in a June television interview.  Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission in recent months tell💥 a different story 💥about Bridger Aerospace, known for its “Super Scooper” planes that can remove up to 1,400 gallons at a time from a body of water to dump on a nearby wildfire.  Bridger is facing a cash crunch so dire that 🔸there is “substantial doubt about the Company’s ability to continue,” 🔸according to public filings that show 👉 the company lost $77.4 million last year and $20.1 million in the first three months of 2024. 🔷Several directors have left, including one who flagged concerns about internal auditing, as an unusually slow wildfire season in 2023 put the company at risk of defaulting on its debt.  ♦️And then last month, Sheehy said he couldn’t devote enough time to running the company and resigned — a move that Bridger, which had promoted his key role in “every facet” of the business, previously said would happen if he was elected to the Senate.<a href="https://jontester.com/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://jontester.com/</a>⭐️“Montana will always come first for me – and I will take on anyone, from any party, to defend our state,” <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tester" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tester</a> said in a statement. “I’m honored to have the support of Montana Republicans who have stood with me to fight for our veterans, protect our freedoms, and keep the government out of our personal lives.”<a href="https://www.yahoo.com/news/tester-campaign-launches-republicans-tester-130118299.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.yahoo.com/news/tester-campaign-launches-republicans-tester-130118299.html</a><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/10/tim-sheehy-firefighting-company-losses-wildfires/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/10/tim-sheehy-firefighting-company-losses-wildfires/</a>

Chuck DarwinSen. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tester" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tester</a> (D-Mont.) is locked in a tight race in Montana as former President Trump boasts a wide lead over Vice President Harris in the state, polling shows. A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey puts Trump-backed Republican <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tim" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tim</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sheehy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Sheehy</a> with a 2-point lead over Tester, 48 percent to 46 percent. Another 5 percent were undecided.  ♦️Tester is one of the most vulnerable incumbents this cycle, ♦️a rare Democrat holding office in a state Biden lost back in 2020, and 💥his race could determine which party ends up controlling the upper chamber.The poll also marks a shift from March, when the same pollster found Tester up by 2 points over his Republican challenger. Because the gap falls 🔸within the survey’s 3-point margin of error, 🔸the race remains a potential tie between the two Senate race rivals. This week, Tester launched a 🌟“Republicans for Tester” 🌟group to rally support from across the aisle as he braces for a competitive November contest. At the top of the ticket, Trump is a whopping 15 percentage points ahead of Harris, but the vice president’s 40 percent support is a notable 5-point improvement from the 35 percent President Biden garnered back in March.<a href="https://jontester.com" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://jontester.com</a><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4816495-tester-locked-in-tight-race-in-montana-trump-holds-wide-lead-over-harris-poll/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4816495-tester-locked-in-tight-race-in-montana-trump-holds-wide-lead-over-harris-poll/</a>

Chuck DarwinSince the start of the year, there have been $723 million worth of campaign ad buys for just three Senate races: in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Montana, according to AdImpact data.A fierce battle for control of the Senate is fueling the expected record-breaking ad spending this election cycle. The investment so far points to the races both parties deem most critical for the majority.Democrats have long held a fundraising advantage over Republicans, which is helping them play defense in nine competitive Senate races. Ohio is the only Senate race in which Republicans have been spending more than Democrats on campaign ads and reservations — though this is largely due to it having one of the only highly competitive Senate GOP primaries this year. Republican Bernie Moreno won the Ohio primary and will face Democratic incumbent Sen. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sherrod" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Sherrod</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Brown" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Brown</a> in November. The showdowns between Sen. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Bob" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Bob</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Casey" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Casey</a> (D) and Dave McCormick in Pennsylvania and Sen. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Jon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Jon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Tester" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Tester</a> (D) and Tim Sheehy in Montana come in second and third for ad spending and booking for both parties, so far. The $70.5 million of spending in California was driven by heated Senate primary. Rep. <a href="https://c.im/tags/Adam" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Adam</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Schiff" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Schiff</a> (D-Calif.) is expected to have an easy general election in November. Totals include ad reservations made so far through Election Day, though those reservations are expected to keep coming.<a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/08/07/senate-campaign-2024-election-ad-spending-republicans-democrats" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.axios.com/2024/08/07/senate-campaign-2024-election-ad-spending-republicans-democrats</a>

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